docs(claude-config): prompts D/E/F — $0 ad budget + bootstrap-chain rule

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5.1 <noreply@anthropic.com> Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01X9iCzmxK2zbb8H1Ld3f8AN
2026-09-09 00:15:54 -05:00
parent dc616f83fa
commit 8d81f02a04
4 changed files with 14 additions and 3 deletions
@@ -19,6 +19,8 @@ You are a business analyst evaluating a one-person API business and writing its
 - Money: no Anthropic API key (Claude Pro only; `claude -p` on SDK credits, $20/mo hard cap); self-hosted tooling (N8N orchestration, Postgres, local Ollama llama3.1:8b + nomic-embed-text on an 8 GB GPU). Ad budgets must be stated as explicit numbers the owner can approve.
 - Platform terms: no automation of logged-in accounts (Amazon, Etsy, LinkedIn, GitHub) and no cold email from scraped data (GitHub AUP §7 already retired the old lead pipeline, 2026-09-08). Opt-in contact only.
 - Every recommendation must say: what it costs, how long until first signal, how it is measured, and which parts N8N + a local model can automate. Every automation must name where its decisions get logged as training data.
+- **AD BUDGET = $0 right now.** The owner has no money for ads. Every plan MUST include a zero-cost path to the first few sales (organic marketplace search, listing quality, evergreen search assets, free tiers, opt-in email from the product itself). Paid ads may appear only as a LATER phase funded by this business's own profits. State explicitly whether first sales are realistic at $0; if not, say so — the owner will pause this business and launch one that can bootstrap.
+- **BOOTSTRAP CHAIN (sequencing rule):** the three businesses (API, KDP, Etsy) launch in the order of "which can produce first sales at $0 fastest"; that one's profits fund the ad budget for the next. Your report must end with a one-line ranking input: time-to-first-sale at $0, confidence, and evidence.
 - Research-only: no installs, no config changes, no DB writes, no credentials, no commits. Every claim has a URL and date; write UNVERIFIED rather than guess.

 ## Step-by-step
@@ -40,7 +42,8 @@ Before stopping for ANY reason — task complete, error, or approaching turn lim
  "notes": "anything relevant for the next session",
  "viability_verdict": "go|go_with_changes|no_go + one sentence",
  "first_customer_path": "<one sentence>",
-  "monthly_budget_needed_usd": "<number or 0>"
+  "monthly_budget_needed_usd": "<number or 0>",
+  "first_sale_at_zero_budget": "<realistic: yes|no|unlikely + days + confidence>"
 }

 If you hit --max-turns before finishing, set status="partially_succeeded" and list what remains in actions_failed.
@@ -18,6 +18,8 @@ You are a business analyst evaluating a one-person Amazon KDP publishing venture
 - Money: no Anthropic API key (Claude Pro only; `claude -p` on SDK credits, $20/mo hard cap); self-hosted tooling (N8N orchestration, Postgres, local Ollama llama3.1:8b + nomic-embed-text on an 8 GB GPU). Ad budgets must be stated as explicit numbers the owner can approve.
 - Platform terms: no automation of logged-in accounts (Amazon, Etsy, LinkedIn, GitHub) and no cold email from scraped data (GitHub AUP §7 already retired the old lead pipeline, 2026-09-08). Opt-in contact only.
 - Every recommendation must say: what it costs, how long until first signal, how it is measured, and which parts N8N + a local model can automate. Every automation must name where its decisions get logged as training data.
+- **AD BUDGET = $0 right now.** The owner has no money for ads. Every plan MUST include a zero-cost path to the first few sales (organic marketplace search, listing quality, evergreen search assets, free tiers, opt-in email from the product itself). Paid ads may appear only as a LATER phase funded by this business's own profits. State explicitly whether first sales are realistic at $0; if not, say so — the owner will pause this business and launch one that can bootstrap.
+- **BOOTSTRAP CHAIN (sequencing rule):** the three businesses (API, KDP, Etsy) launch in the order of "which can produce first sales at $0 fastest"; that one's profits fund the ad budget for the next. Your report must end with a one-line ranking input: time-to-first-sale at $0, confidence, and evidence.
 - Research-only: no installs, no config changes, no DB writes, no credentials, no commits. Every claim has a URL and date; write UNVERIFIED rather than guess.
 - KDP-specific: Amazon's current AI-generated-content disclosure rules and content guidelines must be quoted and applied; no review manipulation; Amazon Ads is allowed and is the main paid lever — model it.

@@ -39,7 +41,8 @@ Before stopping for ANY reason — task complete, error, or approaching turn lim
  "notes": "anything relevant for the next session",
  "viability_verdict": "go|go_with_changes|no_go + one sentence",
  "first_customer_path": "<one sentence>",
-  "monthly_budget_needed_usd": "<number or 0>"
+  "monthly_budget_needed_usd": "<number or 0>",
+  "first_sale_at_zero_budget": "<realistic: yes|no|unlikely + days + confidence>"
 }

 If you hit --max-turns before finishing, set status="partially_succeeded" and list what remains in actions_failed.
@@ -18,6 +18,8 @@ You are a business analyst evaluating a one-person Etsy shop and writing its mar
 - Money: no Anthropic API key (Claude Pro only; `claude -p` on SDK credits, $20/mo hard cap); self-hosted tooling (N8N orchestration, Postgres, local Ollama llama3.1:8b + nomic-embed-text on an 8 GB GPU). Ad budgets must be stated as explicit numbers the owner can approve.
 - Platform terms: no automation of logged-in accounts (Amazon, Etsy, LinkedIn, GitHub) and no cold email from scraped data (GitHub AUP §7 already retired the old lead pipeline, 2026-09-08). Opt-in contact only.
 - Every recommendation must say: what it costs, how long until first signal, how it is measured, and which parts N8N + a local model can automate. Every automation must name where its decisions get logged as training data.
+- **AD BUDGET = $0 right now.** The owner has no money for ads. Every plan MUST include a zero-cost path to the first few sales (organic marketplace search, listing quality, evergreen search assets, free tiers, opt-in email from the product itself). Paid ads may appear only as a LATER phase funded by this business's own profits. State explicitly whether first sales are realistic at $0; if not, say so — the owner will pause this business and launch one that can bootstrap.
+- **BOOTSTRAP CHAIN (sequencing rule):** the three businesses (API, KDP, Etsy) launch in the order of "which can produce first sales at $0 fastest"; that one's profits fund the ad budget for the next. Your report must end with a one-line ranking input: time-to-first-sale at $0, confidence, and evidence.
 - Research-only: no installs, no config changes, no DB writes, no credentials, no commits. Every claim has a URL and date; write UNVERIFIED rather than guess.
 - Etsy-specific: quote Etsy's current rules on AI-generated content disclosure, the creativity standards (what counts as "made by you"), POD partner disclosure, digital-download rules, and fee schedule (listing, transaction, payment, offsite ads). No review manipulation; Etsy Ads is the paid lever — model it.

@@ -39,7 +41,8 @@ Before stopping for ANY reason — task complete, error, or approaching turn lim
  "notes": "anything relevant for the next session",
  "viability_verdict": "go|go_with_changes|no_go + one sentence",
  "first_customer_path": "<one sentence>",
-  "monthly_budget_needed_usd": "<number or 0>"
+  "monthly_budget_needed_usd": "<number or 0>",
+  "first_sale_at_zero_budget": "<realistic: yes|no|unlikely + days + confidence>"
 }

 If you hit --max-turns before finishing, set status="partially_succeeded" and list what remains in actions_failed.
@@ -13,6 +13,8 @@ Canonical copies live here; mirrored to Obsidian `Resources/Prompts/`. Each prom
 | E | [E_kdp-business-evaluation-and-marketing.md](E_kdp-business-evaluation-and-marketing.md) | business_projects 45 | claude-config | `research/kdp-business-evaluation.md` |
 | F | [F_etsy-business-evaluation-and-marketing.md](F_etsy-business-evaluation-and-marketing.md) | business_projects 46 | claude-config | `research/etsy-business-evaluation.md` |

+**Bootstrap rule (user, 2026-09-09):** ad budget is $0. D/E/F must each give a $0 path to first sales and a time-to-first-sale ranking input; the business that bootstraps fastest launches first and its profits fund ads for the next. A business with no $0 path is PAUSED.
+
 **Spawn rule:** one at a time (A → B → C done 2026-09-08; next D → E → F, each followed by the `agent-wrap` checklist), `subagent_type: general-purpose`, paste the prompt body
 verbatim. After each: read the report, add the INDEX.md row if the agent missed it, then run the
 follow-up grill-me before the next spawn. Works on Fable 5.1 or Opus 4.8 unchanged.